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Rafael Nadal vs Marin Cilic Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Nadal vs Cilic analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Rafael Nadal vs Marin Cilic Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Nadal 7 - 2 Cilic

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Nadal has won 53.08% of points on their second serve, while Cilic has won 45.85%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Nadal, in recent form, has won 53.23% of their opponent's second serve points, while Cilic has won 42.66%. The same stats for first serve returns are 31.06% and 23.66% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Nadal has saved 58.21% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Cilic has saved 69.23% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Nadal has won 58.33% of matches played (W/L 7/ 5), with Cilic winning 0% (W/L 0/ 5) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Nadal has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 90% (W/L 506/ 57), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 68% (W/L 82/ 38). Cilic has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 72% (W/L 85/ 33), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 62% (W/L 181/ 109).
  • Player level: In the last year, Nadal has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 66.67% of matches (W/L 4/ 2), where as Cilic has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 0% of matches (W/L 0/ 3). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 9 times before with Nadal winning 7 times and Cilic being victorious 2 times. They have played 26 sets in total, with Nadal winning 18 and Cilic winning 8. The last match between Nadal and Cilic was at the U.S. Open - New York, 02-09-2019, Fourth, Hard with Rafael Nadal getting the victory 6-3 3-6 6-1 6-2.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:4:43.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Nadal and Cilic have played a deciding set 2 times, with Nadal winning 2 times and Cilic 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 2 tiebreaks against each other with Nadal winning 2, and Cilic 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Nadal has played against opponents with an average rank of 95.92 while Cilic has played against players with an average rank of 174.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Nadal has won 67% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Cilic has won 0% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Nadal has converted 40.66% of breakpoint opportunities, and Cilic has converted 33.33% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
bet365
Rafael Nadal

94

Total

36

Mast

2

Chall

22

Slam

33

Main

0

Minor

275

Rank

1

High

37

Age

L

Plays

7

Total

2

5

Hard

2

1

Clay

0

1

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

674

Rank

3

High

35

Age

R

Plays

Marin Cilic

24

Total

1

Mast

2

Chall

1

Slam

18

Main

2

Minor

7

Total

2

5

Hard

2

1

Clay

0

1

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

L W L W W W L W L L

Form

L L W L W L L L L L

82% (1119-241)

Career Total W/L

64% (674-372)

58% (7-5)

YTD W/L

0% (0-4)

$96,533,810

Career Prize Money

$22,785,820

0

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Nadal VS Cilic H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Rafael Nadal Marin Cilic
All H2H Matches 7 2
Sets Won 18 8
Games Won 129 100
Aces (Total) 31 82
DFs (Total) 20 29
Avg Match Time 2:4:43 2:4:43
1st Serve % 68% (508/752) 63% (469/745)
1st Serve Win% 72% (366/508) 69% (324/469)
2nd Serve Win% 48% (116/244) 42% (117/276)
BPs Won% (Total) 39% (32/83) 28% (19/69)
Return Points W% 40% (296/745) 36% (268/752)
Best of 3 Sets W% 83% (5/6) 17% (1/6)
Best of 5 Sets W% 67% (2/3) 33% (1/3)
TBs Win% (Total) 100% (2/2) 0% (0/2)
Deciding Set Win% 100% (2/2) 0% (0/2)
1st set W, W 83% (6/5) 33% (3/1)
1st set W, L 17% (6/1) 67% (3/2)
1st set L, W 67% (3/2) 17% (6/1)

Nadal VS Cilic H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-3 3-6 6-1 6-2
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Marin Cilic
57% ( 53 of 93)
1st Serve %
66% ( 68 of 103)
11
Aces
10
6
Double Faults
5
83% ( 44 of 53)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 40 of 68)
48% ( 19 of 40)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 16 of 35)
55% ( 6 of 11)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
32% ( 30 of 93)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 47 of 103)
110
Total Points Won
86
2-6 6-4 6-4
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Marin Cilic
59% ( 57 of 96)
1st Serve %
70% ( 55 of 79)
4
Aces
5
4
Double Faults
1
72% ( 41 of 57)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 39 of 55)
46% ( 18 of 39)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 13 of 24)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
21% ( 3 of 14)
39% ( 37 of 96)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 27 of 79)
86
Total Points Won
89
3-6 6-3 6-7(5) 6-2 2-0 ret.
cross
Marin Cilic
Player
Rafael Nadal
67% ( 93 of 138)
1st Serve %
75% ( 123 of 164)
20
Aces
3
8
Double Faults
2
77% ( 72 of 93)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 83 of 123)
38% ( 17 of 45)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 13 of 41)
26% ( 5 of 19)
Break Points Won
20% ( 2 of 10)
36% ( 49 of 138)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 68 of 164)
157
Total Points Won
145
7-5 7-6(3)
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Marin Cilic
72% ( 52 of 72)
1st Serve %
66% ( 61 of 92)
4
Aces
13
2
Double Faults
2
77% ( 40 of 52)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 39 of 61)
60% ( 12 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 14 of 31)
25% ( 3 of 12)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
28% ( 20 of 72)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 39 of 92)
91
Total Points Won
73
6-1 6-2
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Marin Cilic
70% ( 40 of 57)
1st Serve %
49% ( 23 of 47)
3
Aces
6
0
Double Faults
2
68% ( 27 of 40)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 14 of 23)
65% ( 11 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 9 of 24)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 7)
33% ( 19 of 57)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 24 of 47)
62
Total Points Won
42
4-6 6-3 6-3
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Marin Cilic
62% ( 54 of 87)
1st Serve %
61% ( 52 of 85)
1
Aces
9
3
Double Faults
7
72% ( 39 of 54)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 36 of 52)
52% ( 17 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 16 of 33)
36% ( 4 of 11)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
36% ( 31 of 87)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 33 of 85)
89
Total Points Won
83
6-1 6-3
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Marin Cilic
69% ( 31 of 45)
1st Serve %
58% ( 31 of 53)
2
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
0
81% ( 25 of 31)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 18 of 31)
64% ( 9 of 14)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 8 of 22)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
24% ( 11 of 45)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 27 of 53)
61
Total Points Won
37
6-2 6-4 6-3
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Marin Cilic
73% ( 62 of 85)
1st Serve %
55% ( 55 of 100)
3
Aces
8
3
Double Faults
4
79% ( 49 of 62)
1st Serve Won
76% ( 42 of 55)
48% ( 11 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 15 of 45)
36% ( 5 of 14)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
29% ( 25 of 85)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 43 of 100)
103
Total Points Won
82
6-1 6-3
cross
Marin Cilic
Player
Rafael Nadal
65% ( 31 of 48)
1st Serve %
68% ( 36 of 53)
8
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
0
77% ( 24 of 31)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 18 of 36)
53% ( 9 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 6 of 17)
38% ( 5 of 13)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
31% ( 15 of 48)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 29 of 53)
62
Total Points Won
39

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Rafael Nadal Marin Cilic
YTD W/L 58% (7/5) 0% (0/4)
Sets Win/Loss 54% (15/13) 31% (4/9)
Games Win/Loss 54% (143/123) 44% (55/70)
Hard Win/Loss 67% (2/1) 0% (0/2)
Clay Win/Loss 56% (5/4) 0% (0/1)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/1)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.19 0.79
Aces Total 24 48
DFs per game 0.17 0.46
DFs Total 22 28
Avg Match Time 2:6:53 2:33:56
Avg Opp Rank 95.92 166.75
1st Serve % 69% (568/828) 53% (233/438)
1st Serve W% 68% (387/568) 72% (167/233)
2nd Serve W% 53% (138/260) 46% (94/205)
BPs Won% Total 41% (37/91) 33% (8/24)
Return Pts W% 39% (329/838) 31% (114/367)
Slam W/L 0% (0/1) 0% (0/1)
Masters W/L 67% (4/2) 0% (0/0)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/1)
Main Tour W/L 60% (3/2) 0% (0/2)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 64% (7/11) 0% (0/3)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/1) 0% (0/1)
TBs Win% (Total) 25% (1/4) 0% (0/2)
Deciding Set W% 67% (2/3) 0% (0/3)
1st set W, W 86% (7/6) 0% (2/0)
1st set W, L 14% (7/1) 100% (2/2)
1st set L, W 20% (5/1) 0% (2/0)

Rafael Nadal Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R1
cross
Alexander Zverev
Player
Rafael Nadal
77% ( 72 of 93)
1st Serve %
70% ( 78 of 111)
8
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
3
72% ( 52 of 72)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 45 of 78)
48% ( 10 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 16 of 33)
33% ( 6 of 18)
Break Points Won
18% ( 2 of 11)
33% ( 31 of 93)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 50 of 111)
112
Total Points Won
92
L
6-3 7-6(5) 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Hubert Hurkacz
Player
Rafael Nadal
54% ( 30 of 56)
1st Serve %
72% ( 38 of 53)
9
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
1
83% ( 25 of 30)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 20 of 38)
62% ( 16 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 8 of 15)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 7)
27% ( 15 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 25 of 53)
66
Total Points Won
43
L
6-1 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Zizou Bergs
62% ( 58 of 93)
1st Serve %
56% ( 44 of 78)
3
Aces
7
4
Double Faults
4
67% ( 39 of 58)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 30 of 44)
63% ( 22 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
62% ( 21 of 34)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
22% ( 2 of 9)
34% ( 32 of 93)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 27 of 78)
88
Total Points Won
83
W
4-6 6-3 6-4 H2H
R4
cross
Jiri Lehecka
Player
Rafael Nadal
71% ( 46 of 65)
1st Serve %
61% ( 44 of 72)
7
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
89% ( 41 of 46)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 30 of 44)
37% ( 7 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 14 of 28)
40% ( 2 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
26% ( 17 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 28 of 72)
76
Total Points Won
61
L
7-5 6-4 H2H
R3
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Pedro Cachin
78% ( 59 of 76)
1st Serve %
61% ( 74 of 122)
0
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
3
64% ( 38 of 59)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 39 of 74)
35% ( 6 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 18 of 48)
50% ( 9 of 18)
Break Points Won
67% ( 4 of 6)
42% ( 32 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 65 of 122)
109
Total Points Won
89
W
6-1 6-7(5) 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Alex De Minaur
73% ( 45 of 62)
1st Serve %
66% ( 44 of 67)
0
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
3
71% ( 32 of 45)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 29 of 44)
53% ( 9 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 12 of 23)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
34% ( 21 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 26 of 67)
67
Total Points Won
62
W
7-6(6) 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Darwin Blanch
62% ( 24 of 39)
1st Serve %
69% ( 27 of 39)
2
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
2
79% ( 19 of 24)
1st Serve Won
52% ( 14 of 27)
73% ( 11 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
17% ( 2 of 12)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
23% ( 9 of 39)
Rtn Points Won
59% ( 23 of 39)
53
Total Points Won
25
W
6-1 6-0 H2H
R2
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Rafael Nadal
52% ( 28 of 54)
1st Serve %
68% ( 50 of 73)
2
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
1
75% ( 21 of 28)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 29 of 50)
65% ( 17 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 8 of 23)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
30% ( 16 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 36 of 73)
74
Total Points Won
53
L
7-5 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Flavio Cobolli
65% ( 32 of 49)
1st Serve %
49% ( 27 of 55)
0
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
3
78% ( 25 of 32)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 19 of 27)
53% ( 9 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 10 of 28)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
31% ( 15 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 26 of 55)
60
Total Points Won
44
W
6-2 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Jordan Thompson
Player
Rafael Nadal
61% ( 67 of 109)
1st Serve %
73% ( 79 of 108)
8
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
2
76% ( 51 of 67)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 58 of 79)
48% ( 20 of 42)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 13 of 29)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
35% ( 38 of 109)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 37 of 108)
108
Total Points Won
109
L
5-7 7-6(6) 6-3 H2H

Marin Cilic Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R1
cross
Laslo Djere
Player
Marin Cilic
60% ( 39 of 65)
1st Serve %
57% ( 48 of 84)
5
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
4
77% ( 30 of 39)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 30 of 48)
73% ( 19 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 17 of 36)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
25% ( 16 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 37 of 84)
86
Total Points Won
63
L
4-6 6-3 6-0 H2H
Rubber 1
cross
Zizou Bergs
Player
Marin Cilic
66% ( 57 of 87)
1st Serve %
57% ( 56 of 99)
15
Aces
9
1
Double Faults
6
79% ( 45 of 57)
1st Serve Won
75% ( 42 of 56)
60% ( 18 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 21 of 43)
13% ( 2 of 16)
Break Points Won
14% ( 1 of 7)
28% ( 24 of 87)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 36 of 99)
99
Total Points Won
87
L
6-4 4-6 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Fabian Marozsan
Player
Marin Cilic
65% ( 59 of 91)
1st Serve %
52% ( 65 of 125)
10
Aces
16
3
Double Faults
6
80% ( 47 of 59)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 46 of 65)
59% ( 19 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 25 of 60)
35% ( 6 of 17)
Break Points Won
100% ( 2 of 2)
27% ( 25 of 91)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 54 of 125)
120
Total Points Won
96
L
6-1 2-6 6-2 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Jan-Lennard Struff
Player
Marin Cilic
56% ( 69 of 124)
1st Serve %
49% ( 64 of 130)
11
Aces
20
4
Double Faults
12
71% ( 49 of 69)
1st Serve Won
77% ( 49 of 64)
47% ( 26 of 55)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 31 of 66)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
40% ( 4 of 10)
40% ( 49 of 124)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 50 of 130)
125
Total Points Won
129
L
3-6 7-6(4) 7-6(7) H2H
R1
cross
Flavio Cobolli
Player
Marin Cilic
56% ( 31 of 55)
1st Serve %
60% ( 43 of 72)
3
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
3
74% ( 23 of 31)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 26 of 43)
71% ( 17 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 13 of 29)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
27% ( 15 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 33 of 72)
73
Total Points Won
54
L
6-4 6-3 H2H
QF
L
w/o H2H
R2
cross
Marin Cilic
Player
Roberto Carballes Baena
71% ( 54 of 76)
1st Serve %
54% ( 40 of 74)
16
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
3
83% ( 45 of 54)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 26 of 40)
41% ( 9 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 18 of 34)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
29% ( 22 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 30 of 74)
84
Total Points Won
66
W
6-3 3-6 6-1 H2H
Rubber 2
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Marin Cilic
92% ( 11 of 12)
1st Serve %
77% ( 27 of 35)
2
Aces
8
0
Double Faults
9
82% ( 23 of 28)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 34 of 51)
69% ( 11 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
27% ( 9 of 33)
25% ( 4 of 16)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
23% ( 10 of 44)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 41 of 84)
75
Total Points Won
53
L
6-2 6-2 H2H
Rubber 2
W
5-7 6-3 7-6(5) H2H
R1
cross
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Marin Cilic
74% ( 42 of 57)
1st Serve %
52% ( 27 of 52)
7
Aces
9
1
Double Faults
2
81% ( 34 of 42)
1st Serve Won
85% ( 23 of 27)
53% ( 8 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 13 of 25)
100% ( 2 of 2)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
26% ( 15 of 57)
Rtn Points Won
31% ( 16 of 52)
58
Total Points Won
51
L
6-4 6-4 H2H

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